Whoa, we're half way there!

WHOOOAAA, HALF A TRILLIONAIRE!

Bonus Bon Jovi To listen to whilst reading this blog entry.

So, It's taken longer than I'd hoped, but when I updated my spreadsheet today the total ticked over to a little over 500Bn ISK!!

I started out on 17/11/2015, so just under 4 years to go from 3Bn to 500. An average of 10.57Bn a month, obviously increasing as we go.

I started out buying items in Jita, and selling in Amarr. I then expanded to Dodixie and then Rens. Along the way I've added new characters and trading techniques, including station trading, hauling to null, and buying and running around a region without a "big 5" trade hub. The bread and butter however has remained the same, buy high price, low volume items (implants, faction/deadspace mods, rigs) from sell orders in Jita, transport them to another hub and then sell.

This will likely continue as I head towards the big T, though I'm going to further supplement my earnings with manufacturing (in the works, not far off starting), and a little SP farming. More on that in another post, but I basically have 1 account where all 3 characters are considered "finished", so I might as well cash in on their skill point accumulation as I can't use it for trading.

So, how long is it going to take me to get to 1 Trillion ISK? I'm going to make some assumptions and try and work it out.

On 01/01/2016 I had 11Bn
On 04/02/2017 I had 29Bn (The earliest I have for that year, I took a bit of a break from the game)
On 04/01/2018 I had 100Bn
On 01/01/2019 I had 270Bn

I predicted at the start of the year that I would double my wealth this year, leading to a wealth on 01/01/20 of 540Bn. That's looking like being about right with slightly over 2 months to go. Here is where I take some assumptions going forwards. Let's start with the pessimistic prediction:

100/29 is a 3.44x increase year on year
270/100 is a 2.7x increase year on year
540/270 is a 2x increase year on year

Assuming my yearly increases continue to decrease as a percentage, the next few increases should be:

2.7/3.44 = 0.78
2-2.7 = 0.74

So to extrapolate, I'm going to use 0.7 for the next few years:

2*0.7=1.4
1.4*0.7=0.98 (I doubt I'll lose money year on year).

so, 540*1.4= 756Bn by 01/01/2021.

Now let's look at it a different way:

in 2017 I increased my wealth by 71Bn
in 2018 I increased by 170Bn
in 2019 I increased by 270Bn

So for 202 I should increase by ~370Bn, which would put me on 910Bn on 01/01/2021, then an increase of 470Bn would result in 1380Bn on 01/01/2022.

The reality would probably be somewhere between the two, so let's say I'll aim for 825Bn on 01/01/2021, hitting the T some time in the middle of the year.

Either way, I'm hoping for more going forwards. I really like having a definitive target to aim for, I feel having somethign to drive for really drives engagement in the game, whether that's a certain wealth, a certain number of pvp kills, or building your own orca. All playstyles are valid, you just have to find the one that's right for you.